Winning Bet Picks

Super Bowl LV is just hours away and the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to play on football’s biggest stage. Tom Brady will try to add to his NFL record book, while Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will look to become the first team to win back-to-back Super Bowls since Brady did it with the Patriots in 2003 and 2004.

See below for odds, picks, analysis and more for the 2021 Super Bowl. Plus, click here to get an EDGE with Rotoworld Premium for betting trends, live odds and more.

Super Bowl 2021 odds, favorite, spread, line

The star rating compares the% of win picks with the bookmaker odds. The higher the star rating, the better value the selection is according to the combined wisdom of our soccer tipsters. A 90% confidence rating on an even-money chance (50% in betting terms) will have a strong rating. The more money you spend when you buy picks, the higher winning percentage the handicapper will need to hit in order for you to make a profit. And it's ok if you aren't quite ready to buy sports bets or big tickets from one of our experts.

Our best bets of the day are transparent and 100% free in order to help you learn more about how to devise winning wagers of your own. All of our free picks have a star rating which represents our confidence level, the more stars the more confidence we have in the free pick.

According to PointsBet, the Kansas City Chiefs are this year’s favorite over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the coveted Lombardi Trophy. See more on the point spread, moneyline and points total below:

• How to bet on Super Bowl LV: Bet on Chiefs vs. Buccaneers with PointsBet
• Point spread: Chiefs -3 (-115), Buccaneers +3 (-105)
• Moneyline: Chiefs -171, Bucs +145
• Over/under total: 56 points

RELATED: Bucs-Chiefs Super Bowl ‘Worst Result’ For Book

Super Bowl 2021 prop bets

• Color of Gatorade poured on winning coach: Orange (+150), Red (+225), Yellow/Green (+400), Clear (+400)
• Any player to throw a football into the cannon porthole during a celebration: +5000
• Coin toss result: Heads (-103), Tails (-103)
• Coin toss winner: Kansas City Chiefs (-103), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-103)

Source: PointsBet

Super Bowl LV expert picks, predictions

• Hayden Winks’ picks: The Super Bowl opening line started at Chiefs -3 with an over/under of 57.5 points, and I took the Chiefs and the under immediately after projecting a 30-24 final. The under is my favorite bet right now between the sides and total for a few reasons.
• Mike Florio’s pick via ProFootballTalk: Buccaneers 30, Chiefs 27 (Read analysis here, plus see more picks and predictions)
• Chris Simms’ pick: Chiefs to win over Buccaneers (Click here or watch the video above for Simms’ final score prediction)

RELATED:Get betting tools, DFS, season-long fantasy help and more here

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Week 12 matchup (Rotoworld)

The Week 12 Final Score Is Misleading

• The final score could’ve been closer to 38-24 if the Chiefs hadn’t coughed up a red zone fumble and settled for two red zone field goals, if the Chiefs kept their foot on the gas in the second half instead of chewing clock, or if Mike Evans hadn’t scored two garbage-time touchdowns in the fourth quarter. This game was a textbook example of how the final score doesn’t tell the full story.

Read more: Click here for a closer look at the Week 12 matchup between the Chiefs and Buccaneers

Super Bowl LV player projections from Hayden Winks (Rotoworld)

Kansas City Chiefs projections

• Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs QB: Patrick Mahomes‘ projection looks crazy — nobody ever projects for 350 yards — but the Chiefs are very likely to throw 35-50 times against the Bucs. (Projection here)
• Chiefs Wide Receivers: WR Tyreek Hill went so nuclear against the Bucs in Week 12 (12-263-3) that I spent the 30 minutes it took to clip all of his touches from that game (video). The Bucs switched up their coverages then, but Hill kept getting open. I don’t think the Bucs have a single corner capable of hanging with Hill when they go to Cover 3 or Cover 1 man. (Projection here)

RELATED: Keys to success for the Kansas City Chiefs

Tampa Bay Buccaneers projections

• Tom Brady, Buccaneers QB:Tom Brady also projects well. The Bucs may run the ball early — Kansas City’s defense faced the 28th-highest neutral pass rate this season because the Chiefs are typically light in the box — but Tampa’s projected game script favors a pass-heavy game as three-point dogs. (Projection here)
• Buccaneers Wide Receivers: Before the NFC Championship, Antonio Brown was reportedly “day-to-day”. It’s unknown if he’ll play in the Super Bowl, but I left him for now. Even at full health, Brown is not an every-down player. He lines up wide only in three-receiver sets and could even be pushed by Scotty Miller, who scored a long touchdown last game. (Projection here)

Read more: Click here for more projections for Running Backs and Wide Receivers, plus charts, data and more

RELATED SUPER BOWL POSTS

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When it comes to sports betting lines, you probably are wondering what the lingo of lines, odds, and spreads really mean. Understanding what these terms mean is essential to making proper picks on your favorite teams. For the most part these rules apply to all the main sports such as football, basketball, soccer, and hockey. But there are some key differences when betting against the big leagues like the NFL, NBA, and MLB.

Super Bowl and Stanley Cup Betting Odds

A betting line is another terminology for point spread, which is tied to the outcome of the event. It is a forecasted prediction of how many points an anticipated stronger team will win by against a weaker team. In the betting world the stronger team is referred to as the favorite, and the weaker team is referred to as the underdog. These collectively are referred to as spreads.

NHL, Baseball, WNBA Playoffs Betting Picks

In a point spread, you have to bet against the forecasted outcome one way or the other, you cannot just pick a team to win lose or it without laying down a lot of money or it would be too easy to beat a highly likely winner. Instead if a team is predicted to win by 7 points, the spread would be -7 towards that team. You then must place on a bet on whether you think the favorite would beat the underdog by at least 7 points, or if you think the underdog could cover and lose by less than 7 or win. Sometimes a game is considered highly contested and balanced that you might have what is called a pick-em where you simple pick which team will win. Point spreads are common in the NFL.

NBA Point Spreads and NCAA Lines Reviewed

After point spreads are established, you can then look at the moneyline bet. This is generally correlated to the point spread except it shows how money you can win based on your wager. Some sports do not use a point spread but rather just stick to a moneyline bet. For example, a team that was a -7 favorite would likely have a moneyline negative as well, say -200. That means, you would have to bet $100 to win $200. Alternatively there is a plus bet that goes with the underdog, say at 250. That means if you bet 100 and the underdog wins, you can win $250. Moneyline bets generally involve a higher wager to make money as opposed to point spreads. Moneyline picks are the most common wager instrument in the major sports of NBA, MLB, hockey, and soccer.

Nascar, PGA Golf and MMA UFC Betting Lines

In unique situations, where a game has a lot of prestige such as the NFL super bowl , NBA playoffs, or the Stanley Cup, you can bet on prop bets which are bets on specific things that could happen during a game. This is a play strictly based on odds of something happen against it not happening. An example might be whether a field goal would be the first type of score in the football game. At any time as people are betting one way or the other, the odds will adjust as people make picks one way or the other.

Premier League, British Open Championship and College Football Odds Every Week

Winning Bet Picks Odds

Opening lines generally come out a week before an event but for major events like the Superbowl, it might be out for two weeks once the matchup is established. Football events opening lines generally come out on a Tuesday after all the previous weeks games have been played and is usually the sport most heavily used to gamble on. Basketball and MLB have games more frequently and usually the opening line might only exist for the day of an event.